BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Central Florida
Class: 1A Class Rank: 65 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (8-4) Overall Strength = 84.07
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2021 Home W 94.63 36 31 1A 29 ( 7- 5) Boise St 10.69 -5.69
2 09/11/2021 Home W 100.21 63 14 1B 109 ( 2- 9) Bethune-Cookman 16.28 32.72
3 09/17/2021 Away L 85.57 35 42 1A 40 ( 6- 6) Louisville 1.63 -8.63
4 10/02/2021 Away L * 74.52 30 34 1A 94 ( 3- 8) Navy -9.42 5.42
5 10/09/2021 Home W * 84.32 20 16 1A 68 ( 7- 5) East Carolina 0.38 3.62
6 10/16/2021 Away L * 68.78 21 56 1A 5 ( 12- 0) Cincinnati -15.16 -19.84
7 10/22/2021 Home W * 94.29 24 7 1A 82 ( 6- 6) Memphis 10.35 6.65
8 10/30/2021 Away W * 101.32 49 7 1A 128 ( 3- 9) Temple 17.38 24.62
9 11/06/2021 Home W * 78.81 14 10 1A 95 ( 2- 10) Tulane -5.13 9.13
10 11/13/2021 Away L * 65.05 28 55 1A 43 ( 8- 4) SMU -18.88 -8.12
11 11/20/2021 Home W 87.42 49 17 1A 127 ( 1- 11) Connecticut 3.48 28.52
12 11/26/2021 Home W * 73.88 17 13 1A 106 ( 2- 10) South Florida -10.06 14.06
Averages 84.07 32.2 25.2
Best game: 101.32 = 42 point win over Temple
Worst game: 65.05 = 27 point loss to SMU
Team stdev: 12.08